• Welcome to the Internet Infidels Discussion Board.

MCATs, Affirmative Action, and DEI, Oh My

Another of the standard ways of lying with statistics is to highlight the large percentage difference between two things both of which have a small percentage ocurrence.

A technique you just referred to as producing "the relevant number".

It's relevant to someone supporting your position; Just as Jimmy's equally arithmetically correct alternative (which you called "being deceptive") is relevant to someone opposing your position.

The fact is that both numbers can very well be deceptive. You just don't object to those deceptions that bolster your preconceptions.
True, but that doesn't alter the situation.

Most students get through medical school. Thus the ones that don't are the outliers that you want to look at.

(And the reality is we see the same issue at universities. The bigger the disparity in SAT scores the bigger the disparity in the dropout rate.)
 
Another of the standard ways of lying with statistics is to highlight the large percentage difference between two things both of which have a small percentage ocurrence.

A technique you just referred to as producing "the relevant number".

It's relevant to someone supporting your position; Just as Jimmy's equally arithmetically correct alternative (which you called "being deceptive") is relevant to someone opposing your position.

The fact is that both numbers can very well be deceptive. You just don't object to those deceptions that bolster your preconceptions.
True, but that doesn't alter the situation.

Most students get through medical school. Thus the ones that don't are the outliers that you want to look at.

(And the reality is we see the same issue at universities. The bigger the disparity in SAT scores the bigger the disparity in the dropout rate.)
You do realize people drop out of school for all sorts of non-academic reasons.
 
Medical schools don't have room for, nor should they be expected to lower standards for any person.
In generalities, I agree. But I think there may be room for some squish that you're not taking into consideration. For example, it could be that in the past the bar has been set very high, as a means to limit the number of doctors, and thereby command higher rates. That's great... until we end up in a situation where there aren't enough doctors for the population and access becomes a problem.

If the bar is set higher than is required, then lowering that bar may be appropriate if doing so doesn't jeopardize quality.

:unsure: Potentially timely analogy: It's all well and good to have your toilet paper bar set at soft, thick, doesn't pill, doesn't tear, doesn't have a nap when supplies are abundant. But when supplies run low, you might very well decide that all you actually care about is whether or not it will block your pipes.

Some people do better on standardized tests regardless of their intelligence and educational background and if anyone did a little research, they would realize as has been pointed out a few times, that MCAT scores do not make a good or a bad doctor. Things like emotional intelligence, willingness to keep learning, being open minded as new medical discoveries take place are far more important than MCAT scores.

Plus, a a nurse who has dealt with both good and horrible doctors, imo, many doctors don't bother to learn much of anything new once they begin practicing. This, imo is very true of while male doctors, not all of them of course, but far too damn many of them. Gotta go. Have fun with this silly argument or find something better to do with your time.
To add to this: for many undergrad students who are aiming for medical school, there is a strong competition for top scores, top grades, the most rigorous ( you name it) available—a kind of pseudo intellectual machismo.

This tends to produce students who are very very good at earning perfect scores but who do not necessarily develop good social skills, empathy, listening skills.
Social skills and empathy are nice to haves. Body of knowledge, ability to accurately diagnose and treat are foundational requirements.
So are social skills and some degree of empathy, depending on the field of medicine.

Patients do not follow the advice of doctors they do not trust. If they do not believe the doctor hears what they are saying and understands what they are saying, there is a break down in communication and the patient is less inclined to follow the doctor’s advice.
Not only that, but I will not continue going to a doctor who lacks empathy and knows how to relate to patients. I originally went to one doctor to have my knee replacement surgery, but didn't like his attitude. The one I ended up with was kind, and considerate and had a much better reputation than the first one. I do have some mild to moderate pain in my knees which is very common, but a friend of mine who went to the other doctor had much worse pain that made it impossible for her to exercise. Besides, I prefer NPs but they they don't do surgery. Sure, I've known one who was a jerk and didn't seem to be very bright, but she was the exception. I'm not a fan of PAs, as they often push unneeded things on patients. I've only known one who I liked.
I have not had much good luck with NPs except for one at the practice where I am now a patient, but I have had nothing but wonderful experiences with the PA’s I’ve seen or more specifically who saw my husband. Wonderful health care workers.
I had an NP tell me my pneumonia was allergies. I told her I'd been in the hospital two weeks prior for it and that the course of antibiotics was probably not long enough to get rid of it. I'd been taking thousands of milligrams of ibuprofen and chugging bottles of cough syrup to keep the cough down and the fever away, which I told her, but "No, it's just allergies." The fucking idiot told me to take Claritin.

About three weeks later, with a 103f fever, I staggered into the ER. I had a 1200 millimeter pleural effusion. The doctor asked me how in the hell I'd been walking around and working, and that's when I found out that if it burst through the lung wall that I would've drowned.

I spent ten days in the hospital and barely remember being there. I spent another month at home, but still wasn't right for a good six months.

Yay for NPs.
Sure, some are awful, but I've dealt with doctors who were just as stupid, including the one that got pissed off at me because I told him the drug he had ordered interfered with the patient's blood thinner. That could have killed her, but after getting pissed off, he stopped the drug the next day. Gee, maybe he should have looked that up before prescribing it.
Then there was the one I hung up on after he got angry because he wasn't making enough money being the doctor for low income pregnant women. I was reporting extremely high BP, a sign of preeclampsia, so I had to tell the patient to go to the ER.

That's the time I got a standing ovation from the hospital nurses when they found out I was the nurse who hung up on that doctor. And, btw, nobody made him delivery those poor women's babies. He had agreed to do it. Plus we had a nice semi retired doctor who did the exams prior to delivery.

I almost forgot about he ones who treated my rattle snake bite with a terrible experimental treatment that left my great toe fucked up to this day. Besides that the hospitalist never examined my foot while I was hospitalized and discharged me with a dirty dressing hanging from my foot, not to mention he never ordered an antibiotic or a tetanus vaccine. Luckily, I found an excellent doctor when I got back home and he was disgusted by how I was treated by the other doctors.

I could go on, but the point is that there are plenty of MDs who are idiots and plenty of NPs who are very smart and competent. I did see an NP once who wasn't very good, but I would never see her again. My former NP was much smarter than the doctor she had worked with and my current one is excellent, very compassionate and doesn't get upset when I refuse something. If you suspect a medical provider isn't competent, find a new one. No medical provider, regardless of their credentials is necessarily competent. It's usually not that difficult to figure out that they don't know what they're doing.
Wait a minute: you got bit by a rattlesnake?

Screw everything else, I need and can't live without that story.
 
Another of the standard ways of lying with statistics is to highlight the large percentage difference between two things both of which have a small percentage ocurrence.

A technique you just referred to as producing "the relevant number".

It's relevant to someone supporting your position; Just as Jimmy's equally arithmetically correct alternative (which you called "being deceptive") is relevant to someone opposing your position.

The fact is that both numbers can very well be deceptive. You just don't object to those deceptions that bolster your preconceptions.
True, but that doesn't alter the situation.

Most students get through medical school. Thus the ones that don't are the outliers that you want to look at.

(And the reality is we see the same issue at universities. The bigger the disparity in SAT scores the bigger the disparity in the dropout rate.)
You do realize people drop out of school for all sorts of non-academic reasons.
Why do you keep bringing up irrelevant things?

Of course people drop out for various reasons. The question is why there is the big racial difference.
 
I almost forgot about he ones who treated my rattle snake bite with a terrible experimental treatment that left my great toe fucked up to this day. Besides that the hospitalist never examined my foot while I was hospitalized and discharged me with a dirty dressing hanging from my foot, not to mention he never ordered an antibiotic or a tetanus vaccine. Luckily, I found an excellent doctor when I got back home and he was disgusted by how I was treated by the other doctors.
Wait a minute: you got bit by a rattlesnake?

Screw everything else, I need and can't live without that story.
Rattlers never attack humans, but they'll react to someone that comes too close, they'll strike if they feel threatened. Usually it's some idiot messing with the snake but bites do happen when you don't see one in the grass or the like. She says "great toe", that says she wasn't wearing solid shoes, makes a bite from walking through grass a realistic threat.

Around here they don't have grass to conceal them, paying attention to where you are walking is sufficient to avoid danger out in the desert. I've seen two, one sunning itself across the trail where if you weren't paying attention you could have stepped right on it.

(Same with just about everything out there. There's almost nothing that will attack a human, but plenty of things that can kill you in defense.)
 
Medical schools don't have room for, nor should they be expected to lower standards for any person.
In generalities, I agree. But I think there may be room for some squish that you're not taking into consideration. For example, it could be that in the past the bar has been set very high, as a means to limit the number of doctors, and thereby command higher rates. That's great... until we end up in a situation where there aren't enough doctors for the population and access becomes a problem.

If the bar is set higher than is required, then lowering that bar may be appropriate if doing so doesn't jeopardize quality.

:unsure: Potentially timely analogy: It's all well and good to have your toilet paper bar set at soft, thick, doesn't pill, doesn't tear, doesn't have a nap when supplies are abundant. But when supplies run low, you might very well decide that all you actually care about is whether or not it will block your pipes.

Some people do better on standardized tests regardless of their intelligence and educational background and if anyone did a little research, they would realize as has been pointed out a few times, that MCAT scores do not make a good or a bad doctor. Things like emotional intelligence, willingness to keep learning, being open minded as new medical discoveries take place are far more important than MCAT scores.

Plus, a a nurse who has dealt with both good and horrible doctors, imo, many doctors don't bother to learn much of anything new once they begin practicing. This, imo is very true of while male doctors, not all of them of course, but far too damn many of them. Gotta go. Have fun with this silly argument or find something better to do with your time.
To add to this: for many undergrad students who are aiming for medical school, there is a strong competition for top scores, top grades, the most rigorous ( you name it) available—a kind of pseudo intellectual machismo.

This tends to produce students who are very very good at earning perfect scores but who do not necessarily develop good social skills, empathy, listening skills.
Social skills and empathy are nice to haves. Body of knowledge, ability to accurately diagnose and treat are foundational requirements.
So are social skills and some degree of empathy, depending on the field of medicine.

Patients do not follow the advice of doctors they do not trust. If they do not believe the doctor hears what they are saying and understands what they are saying, there is a break down in communication and the patient is less inclined to follow the doctor’s advice.
Not only that, but I will not continue going to a doctor who lacks empathy and knows how to relate to patients. I originally went to one doctor to have my knee replacement surgery, but didn't like his attitude. The one I ended up with was kind, and considerate and had a much better reputation than the first one. I do have some mild to moderate pain in my knees which is very common, but a friend of mine who went to the other doctor had much worse pain that made it impossible for her to exercise. Besides, I prefer NPs but they they don't do surgery. Sure, I've known one who was a jerk and didn't seem to be very bright, but she was the exception. I'm not a fan of PAs, as they often push unneeded things on patients. I've only known one who I liked.
I have not had much good luck with NPs except for one at the practice where I am now a patient, but I have had nothing but wonderful experiences with the PA’s I’ve seen or more specifically who saw my husband. Wonderful health care workers.
I had an NP tell me my pneumonia was allergies. I told her I'd been in the hospital two weeks prior for it and that the course of antibiotics was probably not long enough to get rid of it. I'd been taking thousands of milligrams of ibuprofen and chugging bottles of cough syrup to keep the cough down and the fever away, which I told her, but "No, it's just allergies." The fucking idiot told me to take Claritin.

About three weeks later, with a 103f fever, I staggered into the ER. I had a 1200 millimeter pleural effusion. The doctor asked me how in the hell I'd been walking around and working, and that's when I found out that if it burst through the lung wall that I would've drowned.

I spent ten days in the hospital and barely remember being there. I spent another month at home, but still wasn't right for a good six months.

Yay for NPs.
Sure, some are awful, but I've dealt with doctors who were just as stupid, including the one that got pissed off at me because I told him the drug he had ordered interfered with the patient's blood thinner. That could have killed her, but after getting pissed off, he stopped the drug the next day. Gee, maybe he should have looked that up before prescribing it.
Then there was the one I hung up on after he got angry because he wasn't making enough money being the doctor for low income pregnant women. I was reporting extremely high BP, a sign of preeclampsia, so I had to tell the patient to go to the ER.

That's the time I got a standing ovation from the hospital nurses when they found out I was the nurse who hung up on that doctor. And, btw, nobody made him delivery those poor women's babies. He had agreed to do it. Plus we had a nice semi retired doctor who did the exams prior to delivery.

I almost forgot about he ones who treated my rattle snake bite with a terrible experimental treatment that left my great toe fucked up to this day. Besides that the hospitalist never examined my foot while I was hospitalized and discharged me with a dirty dressing hanging from my foot, not to mention he never ordered an antibiotic or a tetanus vaccine. Luckily, I found an excellent doctor when I got back home and he was disgusted by how I was treated by the other doctors.

I could go on, but the point is that there are plenty of MDs who are idiots and plenty of NPs who are very smart and competent. I did see an NP once who wasn't very good, but I would never see her again. My former NP was much smarter than the doctor she had worked with and my current one is excellent, very compassionate and doesn't get upset when I refuse something. If you suspect a medical provider isn't competent, find a new one. No medical provider, regardless of their credentials is necessarily competent. It's usually not that difficult to figure out that they don't know what they're doing.
Wait a minute: you got bit by a rattlesnake?

Screw everything else, I need and can't live without that story.
We had a whole long discussion on rattlesnakes earlier this month in The Lounge. SoHy graciously relayed her snake bite story in that thread. You can read that whole thread starting here.
 
Another of the standard ways of lying with statistics is to highlight the large percentage difference between two things both of which have a small percentage ocurrence.

A technique you just referred to as producing "the relevant number".

It's relevant to someone supporting your position; Just as Jimmy's equally arithmetically correct alternative (which you called "being deceptive") is relevant to someone opposing your position.

The fact is that both numbers can very well be deceptive. You just don't object to those deceptions that bolster your preconceptions.
True, but that doesn't alter the situation.

Most students get through medical school. Thus the ones that don't are the outliers that you want to look at.

(And the reality is we see the same issue at universities. The bigger the disparity in SAT scores the bigger the disparity in the dropout rate.)
You do realize people drop out of school for all sorts of non-academic reasons.
Why do you keep bringing up irrelevant things?
Coming from someone who brought redlinjng, that’s pretty ironic especially since I didn’t bring up drop out rates.
Loren Pechtel said:
Of course people drop out for various reasons. The question is why there is the big racial difference.
Really, that is a surprise?
 
Because we are discussing standardized tests, there are hard minimum and maximum boundaries. In your hypothetical, a minimum score of 0 corresponds to two standard deviations below the mean. Since it's impossible to score below 0, the data cannot follow a perfect bell curve—it has to be skewed.

There will be some skew because long tails are cut off, but I do not think deviation from normal distribution are at all significant for our purposes.

So, how can we confidently discuss these as normal distributions when we can mathematically see there are skews?
They are not perfect normal distributions of course, but they are close enough.
This gets even more complicated when we introduce confounding variables. For example:
Socioeconomics: Research shows that factoring in parental education and family income virtually eliminates racial differences in MCAT scores.
Do you have a source for that?
But in any case, I do not doubt these factors would remove much of the racial distribution difference. But parental education also means that their children likely grew up in a home where their intellectual development was encouraged from an early age. And there is also a genetic component - more educated parents are also likely more intelligent and they pass their genes to their offspring. And family income is also correlated with parental education (albeit not perfectly of course).
Now, growing up in a well-off family helps with all kinds of things, and many far more directly than MCAT. Your parents might be able to hire an MCAT tutor, but you still have to do the work and take the test. Those parents can also hire a professional writer to craft the perfect personal statement and secondary essays, but in that case you don't have to do squat. So, which admission criterion do you think is more susceptible to family income/wealth?
Preparation Capacity: Total hours dedicated to test prep is a strong predictor of MCAT success, which correlates with the financial capacity to afford extra educational resources and the free time to use them.
As I said, family income helps with a lot of things. More free time also means more time to do volunteering or research, and family connections (e.g. physician parent knows the PI at a local university) can help you get a spot.
Again, family income/wealth helps with everything. But with MCAT and to a lesser degree college coursework (as term papers and such can be outsourced), the kid still has to do the work him or herself.

If you don't like the MCAT, what do you think med school admissions should be based on?

This raises bigger questions. When we group distributions purely as a function of race, are we actually looking at multi-modal, distinctly non-normal distributions driven by class and income?
The distributions are nearly normal. That is a red herring.

And I am sure "class and income" play a role, but mostly in such a way that they truly reflect how well a student is prepared for med school. It is certainly a much better gauge of preparedness than writing about`` yourself or volunteering at a soup kitchen.

Ultimately, this only underscores your broader point: we really do not know as much as we think we do from these tables, and people are making assumptions based on flawed, uni-dimensional models.
We do know that there are marked differences between racial/ethnic groups among applicants. We also know that these differences persist for matriculants as well. With race-blind admissions, those differences would either disappear for matriculants or else could be explained by some metric that would compensate for the differences in MCAT scores (and GPAs since the differences go the same way). I can't think of such a metric - there is no reason to assume, or evidence (that I have seen) to show that blacks best Asians in other metrics used by med schools.
Which means that admissions must not be race-neutral. That hypothesis is further strengthened by the fact that universities have a history of desiring to increase "diversity" even if it means discriminating against members of groups who perform better on average. See: Asians at Harvard.
 
Last edited:
Curious, when interviewing for residencies, do they even ask about the MCAT?
No, but they definitely look at your shelf exams and USMLE. For Step 1, AAMC foolishly decided to make it pass/fail so residencies can't look the score. But they can look whether you passed on the first try. According to this, first pass rates increase by MCAT score. For example, if your score is 498-501, you have a 76% pass rate. At 510-513, 94%. Pass rates also increase with undergrad GPA. I doubt they are at all correlated with what the student wrote about on some random secondary prompt or some other subjective bullshit.

And for Step 2 they definitely look at the score, which is also correlated with MCAT. Residencies also look at things like not having to repeat a year, and lo and behold, that is also correlated with MCAT and undergrad GPA.

MCAT tests academic knowledge and reasoning from undergrad. It makes sense that the types of people who do well on it would also do well on tests which tests knowledge and reasoning from med school.

Again, for all those who think that MCAT is overrated, what metric do you think is better?
 
I almost forgot about he ones who treated my rattle snake bite with a terrible experimental treatment that left my great toe fucked up to this day. Besides that the hospitalist never examined my foot while I was hospitalized and discharged me with a dirty dressing hanging from my foot, not to mention he never ordered an antibiotic or a tetanus vaccine. Luckily, I found an excellent doctor when I got back home and he was disgusted by how I was treated by the other doctors.
Wait a minute: you got bit by a rattlesnake?

Screw everything else, I need and can't live without that story.
Rattlers never attack humans, but they'll react to someone that comes too close, they'll strike if they feel threatened. Usually it's some idiot messing with the snake but bites do happen when you don't see one in the grass or the like. She says "great toe", that says she wasn't wearing solid shoes, makes a bite from walking through grass a realistic threat.

Around here they don't have grass to conceal them, paying attention to where you are walking is sufficient to avoid danger out in the desert. I've seen two, one sunning itself across the trail where if you weren't paying attention you could have stepped right on it.

(Same with just about everything out there. There's almost nothing that will attack a human, but plenty of things that can kill you in defense.)
Excuse me.....I was walking along a nature trail near the beach in Padre Island, Texas, in 1975, long before it was overly developed. Suddenly I felt a terrible sting in my left great toe, and thought a bee had stung me, until I looked down and saw a small rattle snake slinking away. I was with my ex husband, my 4 year old son and my dog. Nothing we did messed with the snake, but what I learned about rattlers is that they are easily stirred up, much more so than other snakes. They bite a lot of people and are present in every state in the US. I had to warn my current husband not to get too close to one that I saw at the edge of the bay in Northern Florida about 25 years ago. Luckily he moved back before the snake saw him. They almost never kill anyone but the pain is horrific and few doctors know the best way to treat them. The treatment I was given was experimental and I wasn't even told that. As a result my toe sill is painful at time, scarred terribly and has developed a large bunion, not due to the snakebite, but due to the way the idiot doctors treated the bite.

The late Dr. Thomas Glass treated me when I returned home to San Antonio, where we lived at the time. He was a famous doctor who specialized in treating snake bites. He was the one who told me that I had been mistreated by the ones in the other hospital. So, be very careful if you are in the woods, or even on a nature path near the beach. It's very easy to disturb a rattler and they will bite quickly before you even see or hear them, especially the pigmy ones, which is what bit me.
 
Last edited:
I disagree about people skills, although my experience with surgeons is that most don’t particularly see the need.

Anyone who operates on the wrong body part or who has a rag in the OR is grossly negligent. This has nothing to do with GPA, MCAT scores or how well they did in med school r in their residencies. It suggests strongly that there may be a substance abuse issue or that the hospital is grossly understaffed forcing physicians to work when they are over tired.
You know, I don't dislike you at all Toni. I'm becoming more and more convinced that we don't even speak the same language. There exists some sort of communication barrier that I just haven't been able to find a way around.

My premise is that good bedside mann
Depends entirely on the distribution around the mean, not just the mean.
Of course.
Let's do a super oversimpified demonstration. Imagine we only have two cohorts, A and B.
We can just use the 2023-24 data from AAMC instead of oversimplified made up numbers.
A has a mean of 50, with a standard deviation of 25. That gives us about 2/3 of the cohort falling between 25 and 75.
B has a mean of 55, with a standard deviation of 10. That gives us 2/3 falling between 45 and 65.
Your hypothetical has difference in μ being significantly bigger than difference in σ. But the MCAT distributions are not like that.
For applicants, Asian MCAT is at a mean of 509.1 with a σ of 9.3.
Black applicants have MCAT at a mean of 497.5 with a σ of 10.0. I.e. standard deviations are similar, but means are not.
If the threshold is set at 60, you will end up with a higher percentage of cohort A being above the threshold than of cohort B, even though B has a higher mean. The same threshold can produce different results based on the standard deviation.
But that is because your distributions have different σs while having similar μs.

Let's apply that to actual data. If we set 500 as cutoff and assume normality, 83.6% of Asian applicants will be above the cutoff, but only 40.1% of blacks will. That's less than half! If we increase the cutoff to 505, 67.0% of Asians are above the cutoff, but only 22.7% of blacks are. That's only about a third. So proportions will change, but the order is not going to flip given these parameters.
Now if you lowered that threshold to 50, you would flip that result - you'd end up with quite a bit more of B in your result than A.
ETA: If you were morbidly inclined, you might consider it score gerrymandering - adjust the aggregate threshold until you get a mix that suits your objectives.
As I have shown, that does not really work unless means are really close and st. devs. are significantly different.

Which is why the admins resort to shady practices like Harvard College assigning Asians poor personality scores in order to limit their numbers.

er is a great thing in a doctor, and makes a doctor better. But bedside manner alone cannot overcome a lack of medical expertise and skill. Medical knowledge is a necessary component of being a good doctor. Someone can be an acceptable doctor without good bedside manner, but cannot be a good doctor without medical knowledge.

I don't think this is a difficult concept, I don't think it's outlandish, and it's certainly not novel. It's not like I'm proposing some new concept here.

What I fail to understand is why you disagree with me on that very fundamental concept. Enough so that you've disagreed repeatedly, despite me having tried to reframe and re-explain my premise.
Again, undergrad percentage of Asians in class of 2029 at Harvard is 40+%.

You are brain fucking numbers to create an allusion that matches your racist view of collegiate education in the United States.

You don't seem to be looking at the Asian applicants on an individual level when it comes to racism. Here is an example from my neck of the woods. If this isn't racism against Asians, then what is it? Is he just really unlucky? Is it likely a young black or hispanic student with the exact same credentials would experience the same widespread rejection as well?

Northern California high school grad rejected by 16 colleges hired by Google

SAN FRANCISCO -- College admissions decisions disappoint thousands of high-achieving students each year, but one Northern California teen's story is catching the attention of Congress.

Stanley Zhong, 18, is a 2023 graduate of Gunn High School in Palo Alto.

Despite earning 3.97 unweighted and 4.42 weighted GPA, scoring 1590 out of 1600 on the SATs and launching his own e-signing startup RabbitSign in sophomore year, he was rejected by 16 out of the 18 colleges he applied to.

Although Zhong recognizes that elite college admissions is complicated and his pool of Silicon Valley computer science major applicants is highly competitive, he admits to being surprised.

He was denied by: MIT, Carnegie Mellon, Stanford, UC Berkeley, UCLA, UCSD, UCSB, UC Davis, Cal Poly San Luis Obispo, Cornell University, University of Illinois, University of Michigan, Georgia Tech, Caltech, University of Washington and University of Wisconsin.

His only acceptances: University of Texas and University of Maryland.

College admissions experts frequently tell applicants that schools with an under 5% acceptance rate like MIT and Stanford are reaches for almost everyone, but Zhong was even denied by Cal Poly San Luis Obispo, which has a middle 50% GPA of 4.13-4.25 for admitted engineering students.

Fer Christsake, he was rejected by my alma mater, and I'm apparently just a big dummy (according to many here anyway).

Let me play Devil's Advocate a moment.

With respect to middle tier schools and so-called safety schools in the list, things are different now than they were back in our day applying to colleges. Essentially, safety schools are no longer safe for elite scores etc. There's a thing called Tufts Syndrome (Yield Protection) where elite applications may get waitlisted or even rejected because the probability of attendance is very low. Think a moment from the university's perspective: they need a good method of prediction of how many students will end up attending after they accept them and so if they only take the highest scores, they will be SOL, not to mention, their acceptance rate of admissions will skyrocket, making them look bad, decreasing their revenues in two ways. There is more about this trend here. You can see from the details on this trend, that it isn't only about skepticism of high scores--there's also looking for signals that the applications are not serious, such as generic college essays, not geared toward the specific school, and other lack of engagement with the school in particular.

Now that this practice by colleges is understood, consider this: it isn't merely that Stanley Zhong was rejected by 16 of the 18 colleges where he applied, it is also that he was accepted by 2 and has chosen not to attend them. So, his applications to safety schools were not too serious to begin with. You may try to counter that his family's lawsuit against universities is very important and this is why he chose not to attend, but his attendance at one of these safety schools is not mutually exclusive with his family's civil lawsuits against universities. The big question here: since he chose not to attend safety schools he was accepted into, were some of the other safety schools logically correct to exclude him?

Now, as for the elite top-tier schools—places like MIT, Stanford, and Caltech—yield protection isn't the story. At that level, virtually every applicant has an elite SAT score, top GPAs, and high-level AP credit. Once academic threshold requirements are met, these schools differentiate candidates using far more qualitative criteria. When high-stat applicants get rejected at this tier, it usually comes down to something else in their application.

These are criteria and part of the application packet that the colleges have not reported due to FERPA and that for some reason the Zhong family has also not publicized. Among these other factors are college essay, college interview, and teacher recommendations.

Since I am playing Devil's Advocate here, let's focus on two major factors: evaluation mechanics and the distinction between genuine novelty vs. derivative resume-building.

First, consider the granular nature of teacher recommendations. I can attest to how this works for MIT applications specifically. MIT admissions evaluation forms do not just ask if a student is "good"; they ask teachers to rate applicants in specific percentile brackets: Top 10%, Top 5%, Top 1%, or One of the top 1 or 2 students in my entire career. Coming from an intensely competitive school like Gunn High School, an applicant competes directly against high-achieving classmates for those top-bracket designations. If a teacher ranks a student as "Top 1%" while another applicant from the same school is designated as one of the best 1 or 2 students ever, that distinction carries enormous weight. It is entirely plausible that a teacher could not check that top box for Zhong because one or two other students in his class--or recent alumni--earned that spot. While elite STEM schools like Caltech or Stanford may use slightly different wording, confidential teacher recommendations remain one of the biggest unseen differentiators in elite admissions.

Second, top research institutions are looking for future leaders on the intellectual frontier, not merely well-oiled cogs or derivative execution. When an elite admissions committee evaluates personal projects, software, or startups, they scrutinize whether the work demonstrates true, disruptive innovation or if it is essentially a well-packaged iteration of existing tech trends. A standard utility app or company--even if functional and tied to a charity model--can easily be perceived by a committee as a polished Silicon Valley resume-builder rather than a breakthrough intellectual pursuit. Elite STEM institutions actively look for candidates who take calculated intellectual risks, tackle fundamental foundational problems, and demonstrate original, "non-linear" thinking. Looking at Zhong's company, RabbitSign: hundreds of e-signing utilities already exist. The underlying engineering, while solid for a high schooler, isn't fundamentally novel and doesn't automatically grant an edge over thousands of equally qualified applicants.

When you combine predictive yield management at mid-tier institutions with the ultra-selective qualitative filtering at top-tier research universities, an application package that looks unbeatable on paper based on a few test scores can easily result in widespread rejections without it being evidence of systemic bias. This is not to say that bias is impossible, but rather that we should keep an open mind until the complete admissions files are disclosed in court. Even then, the public information flow will be asymmetric: universities remain strictly bound by federal privacy regulations, while plaintiffs can selectively release whatever subset of documents best supports their chosen narrative. So it will be crucial to look at the court's decision and reasoning, but be careful of assuming we have all the information the court had.
 
Last edited:
study said:
There are a couple ways to look at this.

1) OMFG!!! Blacks drop out about 250% more than whites!!! OMFFFFFGGFG!
2) Out of 1000 people, 977 whites don't drop out and 943 blacks don't drop out.

With these numbers, it makes one wonder, the importance of the MCAT other than being a basic screening tool.
The 250% is the relevant number.
Why?
The other is being deceptive.
How?
Because what's being measured is failure.

It's one of the standard ways of lying with statistics--embed what you want to hide within something much larger.
Another of the standard ways of lying with statistics is to highlight the large percentage difference between two things both of which have a small percentage ocurrence.

A technique you just referred to as producing "the relevant number".

It's relevant to someone supporting your position; Just as Jimmy's equally arithmetically correct alternative (which you called "being deceptive") is relevant to someone opposing your position.
I disagree with this assessment. The allegation is that applicants are being allowed into school that aren't as qualified. The statistics imply that the MCAT's and GPA aren't nearly as important in determining qualifications for managing medical school with the vast majority of African America students graduating. It implies that the metrics being used by medical schools to pluck applicants are reliable.
 
Can you please demonstrate that poor rural white people who worked the farm while going to college and got a 504 on the MCAT didn't get accepted into Med School?
Some of them certainly got into med school. The question is: what are their chances of getting into med school compared to a black student from a more privileged background but with a similar application? I have not seen any data that is that granular. Did you?
However, my interpretation is based on these universities always emphasizing racial diversity at the expense of not only merit but also other kinds of diversity.
I'm starting to think you don't understand that examples and hypotheticals don't count as actual evidence.
The evidence is in the data about MCAT and GPA distribution for matriculated students. You and your Ilk still have not found a way to explain it without admitting discrimination in the name of "diversity", aka "affirmative action".
 
Some arguments and statements simply do not merit discussion ad nauseam. Giving racism and racist rhetoric the time and effort to dissect—
I'll stop you right there. Accusing people of "racism and racist rhetoric" just because they disagree with you and the left wing orthodoxy is really beyond the pale. It is also quite a bit Orwellian when people who think that students should get admitted without regard to race or ethnicity one way or another are accused of "racism and racist rhetoric". War is peace, freedom is slavery, ignorance is strength, and color blindless is racism.
yet again —racist statements and arguments and repeated attempts to explain or illustrate the reasons something is racist at this point, on this particular forum and perhaps in the greater world simply gives racist arguments oxygen and allows the racists to bask in the attention and belief that their arguments have enough merit to engage other people in conversation between people with equally valid points.
Reality should not be dismissed just because it might give racists "oxygen".
Trump gives people who are bigoted, racist, sexist, xenophobic validation by espousing the same shitty ideas, and promoting them through official policy. And also by getting time and attention from those who push back and argue vehemently against these odious ideas. It fans the flames.
Trump certainly does that. No question. That does not mean that he can't also be right on some issues such as racial preferences in colleges and med schools.
Trump did not appear out of nothing. We have had decades of giving preferences to blacks and Hispanics under the banner of "affirmative action". That did not close the achievement gap. That's because it was the wrong approach altogether. If you hold certain people to a lesser standard just because of their ancestry, they live up to it. Why strive to get 510 if blacks are admitted at 504? But if you are white and Asian, you don't have that luxury. You have to do the hard work and get a much better score than your melanin-privileged brethren (or those whose ancestors spoke Spanish).
We are not better off when people —often very good people—try to parse racist and bigoted ideas to tease out what might be some valid points, as if racism and bigotry held some kernels of truth.
What kernel of truth? That racial preferences are a thing? Those who defend "affirmative action" - like Sonia Sotomayor - are not coy about admitting that it is all about giving certain groups preferential treatment. Which is why it is so baffling to me that you and the other usual suspects on here are so aggressive in denying that the huge discrepancy in scores and grades between racial and ethnic groups is result of such preferences.
But some people are so invested in the notion that white and ( certain) Asian people —especially males—are discriminated against because they are no longer first in line for all good things that they feel compelled to bring up MCAT scores in a totally unrelated discussion.
That’s pretty fucked up.
It is pretty clear that there is discrimination going on. You seem to be saying that reality should be denied because admitting that whites and Asians are discriminated against is bad politically.
 
So are social skills and some degree of empathy, depending on the field of medicine.
Do you really think that whites and Asians have worse social skills than blacks and Hispanics? Because that would have to be the case in order to explain why whites and Asians are required to have higher MCAT scores and grades. Or else it's discrimination. But, of course, you and your Ilk do not want to admit that.
 
I disagree with this assessment. The allegation is that applicants are being allowed into school that aren't as qualified. The statistics imply that the MCAT's and GPA aren't nearly as important in determining qualifications for managing medical school
That is certainly wrong, as I have shown with data. Like 3x higher chance of dropping out after first year for low vs. medium-high MCAT scores. Or 76 vs 94% first pass rate for Step 1. Those are significant differences.
with the vast majority of African America students graduating. It implies that the metrics being used by medical schools to pluck applicants are reliable.
A far bigger percentage of blacks end up not graduating though. That is due to them being admitted with lower GPA and MCAT scores since both are associated with success in med school. Failing out of med school is worse than not getting in. For one, if you don't get in you can maybe retake the MCAT, and/or get some more volunteering or clinical experience under your belt, and try again next year. Failing out of med school means you're done, and you have to pay back the loans you took out for that first year to boot.
 
There are a couple ways to look at this.
1) OMFG!!! Blacks drop out about 250% more than whites!!! OMFFFFFGGFG!
Yes, that is the right way to look at things. That's how we deal with other risk factors. If chance of an Airbus crashing was 250% higher than a Boeing, you wouldn't say - it's only 5.7% risk, so what?
2) Out of 1000 people, 977 whites don't drop out and 943 blacks don't drop out.
While individual chance of dropping out is low (one out of every 17 or 18 students for blacks), it is far from negligible. And much of the increased drop out risk comes from the lower MCAT scores required for admission.
Combine that with significant consequences of dropping out, and the much higher risk of dropping out should not be dismissed at the altar of "diversity".
With these numbers, it makes one wonder, the importance of the MCAT other than being a basic screening tool.
I have shown in other posts that MCAT scores are not just associated with dropout rates, but also passage of Step 1 on first attempt, the Step 2 score, as well as your risk of having to repeat a year.
But even if you think that MCAT is not that important, why require higher MCAT score from Asian and white students then? Why are blacks with a 504 much more likely to get admitted than whites and Asians with a 504?
 
Some arguments and statements simply do not merit discussion ad nauseam. Giving racism and racist rhetoric the time and effort to dissect—
I'll stop you right there. Accusing people of "racism and racist rhetoric" just because they disagree with you and the left wing orthodoxy is really beyond the pale. It is also quite a bit Orwellian when people who think that students should get admitted without regard to race or ethnicity one way or another are accused of "racism and racist rhetoric". War is peace, freedom is slavery, ignorance is strength, and color blindless is racism.
yet again —racist statements and arguments and repeated attempts to explain or illustrate the reasons something is racist at this point, on this particular forum and perhaps in the greater world simply gives racist arguments oxygen and allows the racists to bask in the attention and belief that their arguments have enough merit to engage other people in conversation between people with equally valid points.
Reality should not be dismissed just because it might give racists "oxygen".
Trump gives people who are bigoted, racist, sexist, xenophobic validation by espousing the same shitty ideas, and promoting them through official policy. And also by getting time and attention from those who push back and argue vehemently against these odious ideas. It fans the flames.
Trump certainly does that. No question. That does not mean that he can't also be right on some issues such as racial preferences in colleges and med schools.
Trump did not appear out of nothing. We have had decades of giving preferences to blacks and Hispanics under the banner of "affirmative action". That did not close the achievement gap. That's because it was the wrong approach altogether. If you hold certain people to a lesser standard just because of their ancestry, they live up to it. Why strive to get 510 if blacks are admitted at 504? But if you are white and Asian, you don't have that luxury. You have to do the hard work and get a much better score than your melanin-privileged brethren (or those whose ancestors spoke Spanish).
We are not better off when people —often very good people—try to parse racist and bigoted ideas to tease out what might be some valid points, as if racism and bigotry held some kernels of truth.
What kernel of truth? That racial preferences are a thing? Those who defend "affirmative action" - like Sonia Sotomayor - are not coy about admitting that it is all about giving certain groups preferential treatment. Which is why it is so baffling to me that you and the other usual suspects on here are so aggressive in denying that the huge discrepancy in scores and grades between racial and ethnic groups is result of such preferences.
But some people are so invested in the notion that white and ( certain) Asian people —especially males—are discriminated against because they are no longer first in line for all good things that they feel compelled to bring up MCAT scores in a totally unrelated discussion.
That’s pretty fucked up.
It is pretty clear that there is discrimination going on. You seem to be saying that reality should be denied because admitting that whites and Asians are discriminated against is bad politically.
Beyond the pale is your accusation that I am advocating for minority applicants to gain admittance to medical school who are not well qualified, pushing aside ‘better’ white and Asian candidates.

I have never, ever advocated for anyone being admitted to med school who is not well qualified and well suited to the work of being a physician.

Where you and a I differ is that I fully understand that a slightly higher ( or lower) MCAT score or GPA does not do a very good job of predicting which applicant will be more successful in medical school —and residencies and the practice of medicine upon successful completion of their medical education and training.

There is zero data that suggests that non-white and non-Asian students fail to fully meet the requirements first admission to the medical schools they are admitted to.

You have no idea whether in any medical school class, the student who was admitted with the highest GPA and/or MCAT scores are black, white, Hispanic, NA, Asian or any combination. Neither do I.

But one of us acknowledges that and the other is certain they know. And that somehow means that unqualified or lesser qualified applicants are chosen over white and Asian candidates.

Pl are read Don’s excellent post to understand exactly how admissions are determined.
 
Last edited:
So are social skills and some degree of empathy, depending on the field of medicine.
Do you really think that whites and Asians have worse social skills than blacks and Hispanics? Because that would have to be the case in order to explain why whites and Asians are required to have higher MCAT scores and grades. Or else it's discrimination. But, of course, you and your Ilk do not want to admit that.
I think that any person who has devoted their entire life to perfect scores and perfect resumes is less likely to have developed good listening skills, empathy, good oral communication skills and it is not obvious that such applicants have good team work or good leadership qualities.
 
Fairly sure my score got me in, during undergrad I was very, um..., er,... social.
 
Back
Top Bottom