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How to defeat ISIS.

boneyard bill

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Napoleon once remarked that an army marches on its stomach. So now we have Isis supposedly terrorizing the middle east. But where did these guys come from and, more importantly, how do they stay in business? Let's face it, an army needs to be supplied. They need weapons. They need fuel. They need ammunition. They need food, and in the middle east, they also need water. Who is supplying these people?

Supposedly Isis, or a good part of them, were trained by the US in Jordan. The US insists, however, that they only joined Isis after they were trained. So they are presumably a rogue operation which was originally intended to fight Assad and are not a continuing CIA operation. I wouldn't take the US government's word for that. They aren't in the business of revealing their spies and double agents. But given the actions they are undertaking, it is hard to see how, even under the most Machiavellian of circumstances, they would doing what they are doing at the US' behest. Israel can probably be ruled out as a supplier for the same reason. Saudia Arabia and the Gulf states, especially Qatar, therefore would seem to be the most likely suspects. They are the ones supplying the Al Nusra Front in Syria. So, if you want to destroy Isis, you need to shut off their funding and that probably means getting tough with Saudi Arabia. One must assume that the CIA knows Isis' source of supply. That's what intelligence agencies do.

It has been argued that Isis is not in need of outside support because they control the oil wells at Mosul and can sell the oil on the black market. Very well, let's assume that's true even though it doesn't explain the original source of Isis funding. They control the oil wells, but how do they get the oil to market? They do not control the pipeline which, after all, goes all the way to the Persian Gulf. So if they are selling oil, they are selling to people who do control the pipelines which is likely the big oil companies and the same principle applies. We then need to put pressure on the companies that are buying Isis oil.

So why are we talking about bombing and even ground troops? An army cannot live off the land especially in the desert. Why then, don't we pressure the oil states and/or the oil companies on whom Isis depends? Perhaps it's because the oil companies and oil states are the ones who actually control US foreign policy. Or perhaps Isis really is under the control of the CIA and/or the Mossad and their behavior does represent some kind of weird Machiavellian maneuver that is, in all likelihood, too clever by half.

I don't have the answer to this but, as far as I am concerned, Napoleon's little bromide gives the lie to the official story we are getting from the media and from the state department. I'm old enough to remember almost the whole of the Cold War, and I can't remember any insurgencies that weren't receiving funding either from the West or from the USSR or China. One exception was Castro, but he only won because the Cuban army defected to his side, had they fought against him, he would have been toast.
 
their behavior does represent some kind of weird Machiavellian maneuver that is, in all likelihood, too clever by half.
The primary parts of Iraq they have attacked were the areas where China got the oil contracts. ISIS stepped out of bounds when they attacked Kurdish oil spots so the US bombed them to keep them in check. And of course ISIS is attacking Syria which the US is openly hostile against.

Notice that ISIS hasn't attacked Jordan so there goes the idea these are simply radical Muslims trying to conquer lands for Allah. The rank and file believe they're on a mission from God but the leadership acts in accordance with Machiavellian US goals.
 
Every time the US touches something in the Middle East, they break it worse than when they started.
 
The French Revolutionary army lived off the land.

Disrupting ISIS' supplies isn't a viable tactic IMO.
 
Napoleon once remarked that an army marches on its stomach. So now we have Isis supposedly terrorizing the middle east. But where did these guys come from and, more importantly, how do they stay in business? Let's face it, an army needs to be supplied. They need weapons. They need fuel. They need ammunition. They need food, and in the middle east, they also need water. Who is supplying these people?

Good question.

I wonder, if we follow the money trail, will we find the bales of US currency that went "missing" in Iraq?
 
Why do they need to be defeated by the US. Are they a credible threat to the US?

I don't think so, but the US will be involved one way or another. As much as I'd like to see the US military revert to a defensive role, I doubt it will happen anytime soon. We spent a lot of lives and treasure securing the Iraqi oil fields for Big Oil and their Big Government Contracts buddies. We have a huge investment in Israel and Jordan. And if Turkey gets involved that will open up a can of worms for NATO. So we'll be there fighting ISIS, or at least blasting their bases with drone strikes and missiles.
 
their behavior does represent some kind of weird Machiavellian maneuver that is, in all likelihood, too clever by half.
The primary parts of Iraq they have attacked were the areas where China got the oil contracts. ISIS stepped out of bounds when they attacked Kurdish oil spots so the US bombed them to keep them in check. And of course ISIS is attacking Syria which the US is openly hostile against.

Notice that ISIS hasn't attacked Jordan so there goes the idea these are simply radical Muslims trying to conquer lands for Allah. The rank and file believe they're on a mission from God but the leadership acts in accordance with Machiavellian US goals.

Why would "radical Muslims trying to conquer lands for Allah" not go for the easy targets first? Iraq and Syria where already quite destabilised when ISIS entered the scene, Jordan wasn't and isn't. That's a plausible enough reason why they'd - at least momentarily - restrict their actions to the former two countries without having to invoke "Machiavellian US goals".

I agree that the picture is more complex and that blaming it all on religious fundamentalism as the sole driver isn't helpful, but that doesn't mean we have to fall for conspiracy theories either.
 
Why do they need to be defeated by the US. Are they a credible threat to the US?
They don't need to be defeated by the US, but they need to be defeated by somebody. To whom are they a crucible threat? Do those threatened people or states have the capability to defeat them? If not, who should step in?
 
This seems like a good summary related to the hows and whys ISIS emerged; and why the Turks and Saudis are generally pretty quite even though they both have pretty strong militaries:
http://www.worldcrunch.com/default/...ia-saudi-arabia-salafi/c0s16973/#.VBCFPvldVbo
"For the Arabs of the Gulf, the idea of an Iranian hegemony is a nightmare," French professor Gilles Kepel recently told Le Monde. And this is also true in Ankara. "The Turkish, Qatari and Saudis saw in ISIS the lever that would enable them to get rid of Bashar al-Assad, Iran's ally. The monster they created now frightens them."

It frightens them also because it looks like them. Saudi Arabia practices, nurtures and exports a version of Sunni Islam of which the Salafi-jihadist model, that of ISIS, is merely an outgrowth on steroids.

"For five decades, Saudi Arabia has been the official sponsor of Sunni Salafism across the globe," Ed Husain from the Council on Foreign Relations recently write in The New York Times. Its school books, universities and foundations have been spreading the poison of an Islam intolerant of all other religions and obsessed with the literal application of sharia. ISIS stages the execution of its prisoners while Saudi Arabia beheads them in public.

The monster thus created by the Saudis and a few others worries them all the more since it holds a certain power of seduction among their own population. Attacking it too conspicuously is a risky option. What’s more, almost 1,000 Saudis are fighting in ISIS ranks.
 
The French Revolutionary army lived off the land.

Disrupting ISIS' supplies isn't a viable tactic IMO.

Just bomb them then. Or bomb some kids at a wedding. Either way.

Surely someone will be bombed.

I say wait and see if the new Iraqi govt is better received in Sunniland. If so, The ISIS problem will solve itself. We will still need some pretty explosions however to show we're Serious People Tough on Terror.
 
Just bomb them then. Or bomb some kids at a wedding. Either way.

Surely someone will be bombed.

I say wait and see if the new Iraqi govt is better received in Sunniland. If so, The ISIS problem will solve itself. We will still need some pretty explosions however to show we're Serious People Tough on Terror.

Is there something that triggered this new expansion of U.S. violence in the middle east Obama is pushing? YES. It was the publicity surrounding the beheadings of a couple of journalists by these characters (ISES). Actually, beheadings are common weekend events in Saudi Arabia and we rarely hear any complaints about that. Listen to the reverberating voice of the recently deceased Gore Vidal...."It's the oil stupid." You ask why. There is your answer.

It is the uproar and the violence associated with taking resources that has pumped huge amounts of armaments etc. into these countries and they all are overflowing with the tools of violence. The beheader's knife is only a small part of the picture. The violence we are seeing, chaotic as it is, has at its root the strategic expression of greedy oil seekers and arms salesmen. The U.S. just concluded the largest international arms sale in history to...Saudi Arabia....you know, the place where the heads are chopped off without any publicity at all.

We simply do not have the means to enforce the peaceful exploitation of middle eastern oil without paying off corrupt regimes. We send them arms and then they are used against our "interests." The problem is that those with power in the U.S. are defining our "interests" for us and these "interests" do not include the necessity for the people of the middle east to live in peace with each other. We are culpable. So are the Russians. There is only one game actually being played there and it is CARBON ENERGY EXPLOITATION....in lands that have oil. It is ironic that this region could also easily be a major player in solar energy...but our oil potentates will not have it. This kind of conflict is what you get when you consider nature a sub-system of our economy rather than the reality that we are a sub-system of nature. The sooner we start to make peace with nature, the sooner we will make peace with each other.
The sheer brutality of this conflict just seems to push our attention away from the real cause of the problem.
 
Surely someone will be bombed.

I say wait and see if the new Iraqi govt is better received in Sunniland. If so, The ISIS problem will solve itself. We will still need some pretty explosions however to show we're Serious People Tough on Terror.

Is there something that triggered this new expansion of U.S. violence in the middle east Obama is pushing? YES. It was the publicity surrounding the beheadings of a couple of journalists by these characters (ISES). Actually, beheadings are common weekend events in Saudi Arabia and we rarely hear any complaints about that. Listen to the reverberating voice of the recently deceased Gore Vidal...."It's the oil stupid." You ask why. There is your answer.

It is the uproar and the violence associated with taking resources that has pumped huge amounts of armaments etc. into these countries and they all are overflowing with the tools of violence. The beheader's knife is only a small part of the picture. The violence we are seeing, chaotic as it is, has at its root the strategic expression of greedy oil seekers and arms salesmen. The U.S. just concluded the largest international arms sale in history to...Saudi Arabia....you know, the place where the heads are chopped off without any publicity at all.

We simply do not have the means to enforce the peaceful exploitation of middle eastern oil without paying off corrupt regimes. We send them arms and then they are used against our "interests." The problem is that those with power in the U.S. are defining our "interests" for us and these "interests" do not include the necessity for the people of the middle east to live in peace with each other. We are culpable. So are the Russians. There is only one game actually being played there and it is CARBON ENERGY EXPLOITATION....in lands that have oil. It is ironic that this region could also easily be a major player in solar energy...but our oil potentates will not have it. This kind of conflict is what you get when you consider nature a sub-system of our economy rather than the reality that we are a sub-system of nature. The sooner we start to make peace with nature, the sooner we will make peace with each other.
The sheer brutality of this conflict just seems to push our attention away from the real cause of the problem.

Yes, but there's another thing, If SUNNI ISIS takes over Syria, they will attack Israel and nothing short of nukes will stop them, and who knows how that would end up, If the US will not act to prevent that now, would SHIA Iran aid Israel then? You think Israel will just fold up and go to Florida? Will there be an Islamic revolution in ? SUNNI Pakistan with its nuclear arms? What will SUNNI Turkey do?

It may be about the oil, stupid, as somebody said, but you had better think beyond that as it's also about power, stupid, and about the uses of power. The Jinni was let out of the bottle with the creation of Israel and has been gaining power ever since in spite of the CIA and Mossad.

And what's more, there's no room in Florida, the Cubans and other Latins have it for now. :)

(As well as the overwintering Canucks that can afford it and the high cost of medical insurance). Is my envy showing??? :)
 
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And let's not forget Syria is a long time friend to the Soviet Union Russians. This flavors the response.
 
Yes, ISIS may want to "liberate" Chechnya, the Central Asian republics and other assorted Muslim areas, before turning its attention to N Africa Andalucia and Granada, liberating those last two from Spanish yoke. Drunk with religion, dreams, and power, not afraid of death, they, unlike the West do not seem to need drugs. Or are they using hasheesh as in the good old days when their ancestors fought the Crusaders? (And that was a few years before anyone needed great quantities of oil) As nice and glib as that catchphrase is, it could even be said that there is more to world history than oil, stupid.
 
Yes, but there's another thing, If SUNNI ISIS takes over Syria, they will attack Israel and nothing short of nukes will stop them, and who knows how that would end up, If the US will not act to prevent that now, would SHIA Iran aid Israel then? You think Israel will just fold up and go to Florida? Will there be an Islamic revolution in ? SUNNI Pakistan with its nuclear arms? What will SUNNI Turkey do?

It may be about the oil, stupid, as somebody said, but you had better think beyond that as it's also about power, stupid, and about the uses of power. The Jinni was let out of the bottle with the creation of Israel and has been gaining power ever since in spite of the CIA and Mossad.

And what's more, there's no room in Florida, the Cubans and other Latins have it for now. :)

(As well as the overwintering Canucks that can afford it and the high cost of medical insurance). Is my envy showing??? :)

I think the Israelis can take care of themselves. Anyway, ISIS has to win the Syrian war first.

Don't forget that their dramatic Iraq victory was a result of an alliance between ISIS and Iraqi Sunnis fed up with Malaki. They're not some magic ninja turtle force.
 
Yes, but there's another thing, If SUNNI ISIS takes over Syria, they will attack Israel and nothing short of nukes will stop them, and who knows how that would end up, If the US will not act to prevent that now, would SHIA Iran aid Israel then? You think Israel will just fold up and go to Florida? Will there be an Islamic revolution in ? SUNNI Pakistan with its nuclear arms? What will SUNNI Turkey do?

It may be about the oil, stupid, as somebody said, but you had better think beyond that as it's also about power, stupid, and about the uses of power. The Jinni was let out of the bottle with the creation of Israel and has been gaining power ever since in spite of the CIA and Mossad.

And what's more, there's no room in Florida, the Cubans and other Latins have it for now. :)

(As well as the overwintering Canucks that can afford it and the high cost of medical insurance). Is my envy showing??? :)

I think the Israelis can take care of themselves. Anyway, ISIS has to win the Syrian war first.

Don't forget that their dramatic Iraq victory was a result of an alliance between ISIS and Iraqi Sunnis fed up with Malaki. They're not some magic ninja turtle force.

Tell that to the fast running Iraqi army.

It would only unite the Arabs if Israel "took care of itself" using nukes. Bush went into Iraq to stop just that and now Obama is following him there, one step at a time.
 
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