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Do you think any aliens exist in the universe?

Yes you seem to believe that there is a 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000% chance we are in a simulation. A very black and white kind of thinking.

Yes, But even more, I believe there is a a 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000% chance that we live in a simulation and you are the only one conscious within it.

Whence this hubris? Why are you so special?
 
Right, but the argument on offer here is that everyone except excreationist is a p zombie, which is an entity that has no qualia, no internal life at all — except for his truly, excreationist. :rolleyes:
Do you think it is possible that there could one day be a VR video game where the graphics look almost photorealistic and you can use your voice to talk to the characters and they reply realistically? And the AI would be handled by a computer rather than real people controlling the talking of the NPCs.

What has this to do with the issue at hand? That you believe there is a 50 percent probability that we all live in a simulation but the blessed YOU are the only one conscious within it? Do you have any evidence for this claim?
 
Also, how did you calculate this probability, other than pulling it out of your ass?
 
Yes, But even more, I believe there is a a 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000% chance that we live in a simulation and you are the only one conscious within it.

Whence this hubris? Why are you so special?
Yeah as an atheist I thought there was nothing special about me. It seemed my life wasn't worth living. There are main characters in some video games and movies that seem very ordinary, at least at first. If I could relive a life I would relive my own - partly because in school a lot of girls liked me but I didn't know what to do. Then I came across large amounts of PUA stuff, etc. But I only put it into action at the age of 29 (after I was getting over "toxic shame" which developed as an atheist). I would have done a lot better if I had even asked a single person for girl advice when I was in high school.
Right, but the argument on offer here is that everyone except excreationist is a p zombie, which is an entity that has no qualia, no internal life at all — except for his truly, excreationist. :rolleyes:
Do you think it is possible that there could one day be a VR video game where the graphics look almost photorealistic and you can use your voice to talk to the characters and they reply realistically? And the AI would be handled by a computer rather than real people controlling the talking of the NPCs.
What has this to do with the issue at hand? That you believe there is a 50 percent probability that we all live in a simulation but the blessed YOU are the only one conscious within it? Do you have any evidence for this claim?
Well you don't believe in fully immersive simulations but there would be a more limited simulation that you think is possible. So do you have a problem with there being a VR video game with fairly photorealistic graphics (like GTA 6) and characters you could talk to that do real-time text to speech, etc?
Also, how did you calculate this probability, other than pulling it out of your ass?
The 50/50 probability is roughly based on my feelings. I guess your reasoning is that simulations are definitely not possible therefore the probability is 0.000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000%. That leaves out room for any ignorance or misunderstanding you might have of the issues.
 
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Could you please explain not just why you think reality is a simulation,
So the first part is that I think there could be billions of simulations in the future ...
There would be a smaller number of realities that aren't simulated. So therefore it would be more likely that I exist in a simulation.

IOW, given a plausible starting assumption, Simulation is just more likely.

The  Boltzmann brain hypothesis -- which certainly seems far more absurd than the simulation hypothesis -- was also proposed (though sarcastically) with a similar likelihood argument.
 
Could you please explain not just why you think reality is a simulation,
So the first part is that I think there could be billions of simulations in the future ...
There would be a smaller number of realities that aren't simulated. So therefore it would be more likely that I exist in a simulation.
IOW, given a plausible starting assumption, Simulation is just more likely.

The  Boltzmann brain hypothesis -- which certainly seems far more absurd than the simulation hypothesis -- was also proposed (though sarcastically) with a similar likelihood argument.
Is someone claiming that a Boltzmann brain is more likely than an intelligence evolving naturalistically? The thing about simulations is that when one is possible then after a little while billions or trillions would be possible, assuming it can be replicated cheaply (and today there are billions of video games with the demand coming from billions of players).
 
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