I am cleaning out my Sublime Text files of posts that for various reasons that I didn't post.
DBT, good explanation which agrees with me, or I agree with that.
Were you trying to contradict?
Speaking of low bond yield, proponents of everything is fine like to appeal to it as a proof that everything is fine, debt is servicable, but as I mentioned US is still a more less largest economy with the largest military who can push around anyone anywhere and its bonds is still a last resort. That makes it superficially stable, whenever financial shit happens somewhere everyone runs to US bonds as an ultimate safe haven.
Once US loses that status (Yes, I am looking at China) all the debt weight would suddenly start feel very real and unserviceable . And one of the ways to lose that status prematurely is by piling up too much debt.
And yet your analysis of the US as the biggest bull in the China shop intimidating every other country with the size of its military to command a low interest rate on the bonds completely fails to explain the country that commands the second lowest interest rate on the bonds, Japan. Who doesn't have an intimidating military and has a higher debt load
per capita. And I mean taken across the entire population, since you probably agree with Trump that there are a lot of different
per capitas when faced with the fact that the US has the highest death totals absolutely and only the 41st highest testing rate
per capita in the world, not the highest in the world as he claims.
The loss in the view of people from other countries in the stability of the US economy due to the size of our national debt will pale in comparison to the diminished view of the US having elected the tragically incompetent Trump and his administration to the presidency because of the ineptitude of Trump and his administration not handling the current pandemic well as evidenced by all of the dead.
The theory of we need a smaller government and
laissez faire problem solving just doesn't work well in the situations where what we need is a competent federal government to handle problems like the pandemic. My friends in Germany use to send me funny cartoons and jokes about Trump. Now they send me condolences for living in such a poorly governed country.
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The component of the national debt generated by a balance of payments deficit on the part of the US is another matter entirely.
(The trade deficit is a part of the balance of payments deficit. The trade deficit in products imported from overseas is somewhat balanced by the world buying our financial products, stocks, bonds, and insurance. This trade was partially reduced by the RDS (regulation derangement syndrome) caused Great Financial Crisis and Depression.)
In a very real sense the trade deficit represents manufacturing jobs that we have shipped out of the US. This is bad for our economy, it reduces the economic activity in the US because the wages for producing the products are in the economy of another country.
It is bad for the workers in the US because they are forced to take jobs in the service sector. Jobs that typically pay less than the manufacturing jobs that were shipped overseas. It also suppresses the wages in the manufacturing jobs that are still left in the US because of the constant threat of the owners moving the jobs overseas.
The money that is spent for the products manufactured in other countries leaves our economy for good and has to replaced with money generated in the US by either personal or national debt to keep the economy in the US growing. This is because of the simple fact that the money supply has to grow as the economy grows.
Notice that I didn't include business debt. This is because shipping the manufacturing jobs overseas also increases the profits of the businesses who do it. And along with the profits the incomes of the shareholders increases. Since the vast majority of the shareholders are the already rich this decrease in the wages of the average workers and the resultant increases in the profits of the businesses creates the income inequality that we currently have. Along with a decrease in the economic activity because the already rich have a propensity to save any additional income they receive rather than spending it, effectively taking it out of the economy.
A simple calculation of what wages and profits would be based on the split in the 1970s (a 50/50 split between profits and wages of the gains from increased productivity) projected to today and what they actually are today (100% going to profits) shows us that 85% of the raise in the accumulated profits of the corporations in the neoliberal period of governance of the economy comes from wage suppression, about 19 trillion dollars since 1980.