This is focusing on small patterns of pixels instead of looking at the image. That isn't isn't duck... look at this patch of 25x25 pixels, it looks like a windmill!
What now?
The paper also indicates the economic disparity was about as large for racial disparity, which would make economic sense. And yes, the disparity isn't of no importance, however, I was quite surprised by the number, assuming black students had to be dropping out in droves in order to justify the gnashing of teeth.
How large does the disparity need to be?
> 95% of black medical school students are graduating medical school.
Wrong. If 5.7% of black med students drop out after the first year, then only 94.3 survive the first year. So <95%, and that's just for the first year.
This implies the value of deviations in MCAT and GPA between med school applicants vs the viability of handling and graduating medical school is of low importance. Otherwise, a medical school entry form would be name/address/college transcript/MCAT scores.
It implies no such thing.
According to your numbers:
- 98 of 100 people above 505 on the MCAT graduate.
- 95 of 100 people with an MCAT of 502-505 graduate.
- 92 of 100 people with an MCAT of 498-501 graduate.
So people who barely didn't get to 500 on the MCAT, but were accepted into medical school... almost certainly graduated medical school.
Those are Step 1 numbers, not graduation numbers. Passing Step 1 is a necessary condition, not a sufficient condition for graduation. For example, those who flunk out after the first year (see above) never even take Step 1.
Corrected numbers:
- 96 of 100 people with 505 or above on the MCAT graduate in 4-5 years.
- 92 of 100 people with an MCAT of 502-505 graduate in 4-5 years.
- 88 of 100 people with an MCAT of 498-501 graduate in 4-5 years.
AAMC does not have graduation itself, but taking more than 5 years and still somehow graduating is probably very rare, and a red flag for residencies too.
Those are freebie gambling numbers.
Not even your numbers are quite that, but real numbers are worse. About one in eight with MCAT of ~500 will have a sizable student loan with nothing to show for it.
I've got to imagine that those who did have lower MCAT scores needed something else to buoy their application.
Often that "something else" is the right skin color and
abuelitos who
hablaban español.
Sure, sometimes it's something legitimate, like a corpsman in the military with years of experience. But racial preferences also exist, and I am sick of people trying to deny the obvious.
Of course, we don't have those in front of us. So we have no idea why the medical school picked the applicant with a 498 on their MCAT but they saw them move on to graduate.
Not for any individual, but overall, I do not think people can deny the existence of racial preferences.
And how many of them just barely graduated by the skin of their teeth?
When I went to college, freshman year, lots of people had engineering as a major. I'd say at least 33% disappeared by sophomore year after the weeding out classes were completed. So 5% to me is low. One can look at 8% and compare to 2% and say that is a 400% increase. But I'd rather look at the two crowds, the crowd of the initial 100 who graduated at 98% and the initial crowd of 100 the graduated at 92%. Are you really saying that you'll notice which group has 6 more people in it?
You have to look at the risk relative to others. Undergrad has a high overall attrition rate. Med school has a low attrition rate. If overall survival is 94%, the 88% gang has a 3x higher rate of attrition compared to all med students, and 4x higher attrition than high-MCAT students. Sure, it may be low compared to your undergrad, or even premed undergrad, but why should we use that as a yardstick? Compare like with like. And if something gives you 3-4x chance of failing, I would say that it is a highly relevant variable.
Derec, the statistics show better grades mean higher acceptance.
Within racial/ethnic groups, surely.
But across these groups, an e.g. Asian students needs much better grades and scores to have a similar chance of acceptance than e.g. a black student. That is a sign of racial preferences.
You may like the fact that there are racial preferences, like Ziprhead. That would at least be intellectually honest. What is not honest is to deny that racial preferences exist, like Toni or Don2 or the Hound are doing.
The statistics show that Asians far exceed their percentage of the population in medical school student percentage and have a higher rate of acceptance overall, ie not being discriminated against!
That does not follow, as I have shown previously. If the new NBA commissioner decides that "race-conscious" signing is necessary to increase the diversity of the league and black percentage drops to 50%, then it still greatly exceeds black percentage in the population, but blacks would still be discriminated against.
The statistics show graduation rates are on par with one another,
Statistics do not show that. 250% higher first year dropout is not "on par".
which indicates that admission policies are not taking in people that are not capable of graduating. Which means the admission policies are taking in data well beyond just test and GPA scores into the fold. Nothing is broken.
BS. More people would be graduating, and fewer would be left holding their student loan documents and no degree, if racial preferences did not exist.