Do you think any aliens exist in the universe?

[pood]

And still you have given no evidence that we live in a simulation and only you are conscious in it. What makes you so special?

 

[excreationist]

And still you have given no evidence that we live in a simulation and only you are conscious in it. What makes you so special?

The first step is to generate the visuals and audio of what a character would see and hear (as a video game or video file). Do you think that is possible AI would be capable of that in the future?

 

[pood]

And still you have given no evidence that we live in a simulation and only you are conscious in it. What makes you so special?

The first step is to generate the visuals and audio of what a character would see and hear (as a video game or video file). Do you think that is possible AI would be capable of that in the future?

I am asking you what evidence you have not just that we live in a simulation, but that there is a 50 percent chance that you alone are conscious in it. Without that evidence and an explanation of how you calculated this probability, you have nothing.

 

[excreationist]

And still you have given no evidence that we live in a simulation and only you are conscious in it. What makes you so special?

The first step is to generate the visuals and audio of what a character would see and hear (as a video game or video file). Do you think that is possible AI would be capable of that in the future?

I am asking you what evidence you have not just that we live in a simulation, but that there is a 50 percent chance that you alone are conscious in it. Without that evidence and an explanation of how you calculated this probability, you have nothing.

My argument involves whether you think it is possible for AI videos to look and sound real...

 

[pood]

And still you have given no evidence that we live in a simulation and only you are conscious in it. What makes you so special?

The first step is to generate the visuals and audio of what a character would see and hear (as a video game or video file). Do you think that is possible AI would be capable of that in the future?

I am asking you what evidence you have not just that we live in a simulation, but that there is a 50 percent chance that you alone are conscious in it. Without that evidence and an explanation of how you calculated this probability, you have nothing.

My argument involves whether you think it is possible for AI videos to look and sound real...

This in not even a sketch of an argument.

Again:

I am asking you what evidence you have not just that we live in a simulation, but that there is a 50 percent chance that you alone are conscious in it. Without that evidence and an explanation of how you calculated this probability, you have nothing.

 

[excreationist]

And still you have given no evidence that we live in a simulation and only you are conscious in it. What makes you so special?

The first step is to generate the visuals and audio of what a character would see and hear (as a video game or video file). Do you think that is possible AI would be capable of that in the future?

I am asking you what evidence you have not just that we live in a simulation, but that there is a 50 percent chance that you alone are conscious in it. Without that evidence and an explanation of how you calculated this probability, you have nothing.

My argument involves whether you think it is possible for AI videos to look and sound real...

This in not even a sketch of an argument.

I want to use your response as part of my argument.

Again:

I am asking you what evidence you have not just that we live in a simulation,

In order to provide evidence for a simulation I need to know your beliefs on it regarding what technology you think might be possible in the future. It's all about future technology.

but that there is a 50 percent chance that you alone are conscious in it. Without that evidence and an explanation of how you calculated this probability, you have nothing.

Well it is based on premises that build on each other. The first is about possible future technology. If you want me to try and convince you I need to work out premises that you might agree to. Otherwise you'll just reject every single premise which means the argument isn't persuasive.

 

[pood]

OK. Let me know when you have some evidence and a justification for your probability “estimates.” Until then …

 

[pood]

Bet my money on a bob-tailed nag
Somebody bet on the bay

Why’d I bet my money on the bob-tailed nag?

Feeling!

Oops, came in last.

Lost my shirt.

 

[excreationist]

OK. Let me know when you have some evidence and a justification for your probability “estimates.” Until then …

It depends on how you'd respond to this:

The first step is to generate the visuals and audio of what a character would see and hear (as a video game or video file). Do you think that is possible AI would be capable of that in the future?

I need to work out premises that you might find reasonable.

Otherwise those probabilities were based on my feelings. Similar to how AI researchers came up with probabilities about AI eliminating humans. I've tried explaining it before and you just scoff. If you can't help me with premises it will just repeat exactly as it has before. You don't agree with my normal premises so obviously you don't agree with the conclusion.

 

[pood]

As I say, let me now when you have some evidence, and a way to calculate your probabilities other than your feelings

 

[excreationist]

As I say, let me now when you have some evidence, and a way to calculate your probabilities other than your feelings

The possibility of future technlogies is the main premise. That involves starting with what's possible now and going forward. You'd only consider it evidence if you think that future technology is possible. A premise is those simulations being possible. You reject that premise so therefore you'd reject any conclusions (or maybe that reasoning I just used is a logical fallacy)
I think the AI researchers can only come up with their probabilities of AI exterminating humans using feelings. Since my 50/50 odds guess are about future technology (related to p zombies) there aren't really any hard data points.