So? "That's the way we've always done it" is not an argument for that being a reasonable way to do it; and it doesn't make the claim any more compatible with the graph I posted.People keep asserting that, and not providing evidence for it. How do you square your claim with the graph in post #5? Help me out here.Loren Pechtel said:By any reasonable measure unemployment has gone down.
(It should be noted, by the way, that the twenty-year trend of potential workers bailing out of the job market is actually more like a sixty-year trend, with the first forty years obscured by the greater number of women bailing in as it became socially acceptable for them not to be housewives.)
The indicators that show us unemployment is down are the same indicators we've always used to determine the unemployment rate.
Are you seriously suggesting that before 2009, nobody ever pointed out that defining a 30-year-old living in his parents' basement who never makes any attempt to go out and get a job and instead spends his days playing video games and getting high as "not unemployed" is deranged?Critics need to tell us why that indicator has been considered fairly accurate all these years...except for during the Obama administration.
So? "That's the way we've always done it" is not an argument for that being a reasonable way to do it; and it doesn't make the claim any more compatible with the graph I posted.People keep asserting that, and not providing evidence for it. How do you square your claim with the graph in post #5? Help me out here.Loren Pechtel said:By any reasonable measure unemployment has gone down.
(It should be noted, by the way, that the twenty-year trend of potential workers bailing out of the job market is actually more like a sixty-year trend, with the first forty years obscured by the greater number of women bailing in as it became socially acceptable for them not to be housewives.)
The indicators that show us unemployment is down are the same indicators we've always used to determine the unemployment rate.
Are you seriously suggesting that before 2009, nobody ever pointed out that defining a 30-year-old living in his parents' basement who never makes any attempt to go out and get a job and instead spends his days playing video games and getting high as "not unemployed" is deranged?Critics need to tell us why that indicator has been considered fairly accurate all these years...except for during the Obama administration.
How do you figure I'm proving the OP?Other than proving the OP, what is Bomb20 asserting here?
Show your work.Apparently the idea is that unemployment has been going up for 60 years. By now, the numbers of unemployed should exceed 100% of the population.
What graph are you talking about? If you're talking about the one I posted, I didn't say the "down" segments are hiding an upward trend. I said the up segments are hiding a downward trend. This will become obvious if you go find a version of the graph that shows separate curves for men and women. There aren't any sustained up segments in the male curve. The female curve goes up with the women's lib movement until it's close to the male curve, and thereafter tracks the male curve downward.If the "down" segments of the graph are actually hiding an upward trend, then the upward sections of the graph must indicate wholesale firings of entire population segments.
It's called "sarcasm". Look it up if you aren't familiar with the concept. I could have expressed the same point by saying to Ravensky "You are basing your accusation on an equivocation fallacy. The government's definition of unemployment and Trump supporters' definitions of unemployment are unlikely to be interchangeable. The government's definition is unreasonable." But that would have been boring and easy to ignore.So your theory is what? That Trump voters are too stupid to understand that people who have given up looking for work aren't fully human, and therefore when the government doesn't count them as unemployed, and is thus able to report a falling unemployment rate, it's correct?
Speaking of "reckless disregard for the truth..."
That's a gross failure of reading comprehension on your part. I did not call them stupid. For you to think I did is a rookie mistake. Go get an SAT study guide and try to relearn what you must have known as a college freshman.Bomb #20 called them stupid in an argument...
Look at the graph again. It's the labor force participation rate specifically of 25 to 54 year-olds.People keep asserting that, and not providing evidence for it. How do you square your claim with the graph in post #5? Help me out here.
(It should be noted, by the way, that the twenty-year trend of potential workers bailing out of the job market is actually more like a sixty-year trend, with the first forty years obscured by the greater number of women bailing in as it became socially acceptable for them not to be housewives.)
Ever hear of baby boomers retiring? The decline in the labor force participation rate doesn't prove unemployment!
It's called "sarcasm". Look it up if you aren't familiar with the concept. I could have expressed the same point by saying to Ravensky "You are basing your accusation on an equivocation fallacy. The government's definition of unemployment and Trump supporters' definitions of unemployment are unlikely to be interchangeable. The government's definition is unreasonable." But that would have been boring and easy to ignore.Speaking of "reckless disregard for the truth..."
That's a gross failure of reading comprehension on your part. I did not call them stupid. For you to think I did is a rookie mistake. Go get an SAT study guide and try to relearn what you must have known as a college freshman.Bomb #20 called them stupid in an argument...
You won't do this of course, because you're too arrogant and too hostile to take constructive criticism from me. So don't take my word for it. Go show my question to some other professor and ask her if it means I was calling them stupid.
So? "That's the way we've always done it" is not an argument for that being a reasonable way to do it; and it doesn't make the claim any more compatible with the graph I posted.People keep asserting that, and not providing evidence for it. How do you square your claim with the graph in post #5? Help me out here.Loren Pechtel said:By any reasonable measure unemployment has gone down.
(It should be noted, by the way, that the twenty-year trend of potential workers bailing out of the job market is actually more like a sixty-year trend, with the first forty years obscured by the greater number of women bailing in as it became socially acceptable for them not to be housewives.)
The indicators that show us unemployment is down are the same indicators we've always used to determine the unemployment rate.
Are you seriously suggesting that before 2009, nobody ever pointed out that defining a 30-year-old living in his parents' basement who never makes any attempt to go out and get a job and instead spends his days playing video games and getting high as "not unemployed" is deranged?Critics need to tell us why that indicator has been considered fairly accurate all these years...except for during the Obama administration.
What I find funny is that apparently these days, participating in several interviews for a single position (as in one job at one company) is completely normal these days. People may find it harder to work because some companies have become extremely picky. I think I was lucky and was the last group to enter the workforce before corporate management lost their minds.Look at the graph again. It's the labor force participation rate specifically of 25 to 54 year-olds.Ever hear of baby boomers retiring? The decline in the labor force participation rate doesn't prove unemployment!
Bomb#20 said:Blah blah blah. Blah blah, blah. Blah blah blahblah, blah blah. Blah.
They say whatever they think will make "their side" look better. I don't suppose they have any way of reconciling that assertion with the data on the graph, eh? Maybe Bomb#20 can explain why the graph looks the way it does, showing unemployment rising when Repugs are in control, and dropping when Dems are in control. He has asserted that the parts of the graph showing declines in unemployment are actually rises in unemployment due to non-participation and dropouts. But the same data sets are used in the parts of the graph that show unemployment rising under the Pugs. So that must mean that those segments show a totally BALLISTIC rate of unemployment increase, right?
What Bomb #20 is blathering on about (as if it changes anything) is the differences between U3 vs U6 measures of labor. The U3 measure is and always has been the number being referred to when government and news reports talk about "unemployment". "U3 is the official unemployment rate." The *real* rate. Bomb knows or should know this.
Unfortunately, ever since President Obama was elected, Faux News and the right-wing bloviators have hoodwinked their audience into believing that the U6 is the *real* "unemployment" rate. It isn't. But even if Bomb wants to believe that it is, so what. The U6 has ALSO decreased during President Obama's terms in office. It is down to 9.30% as of November 2016 from 14.20% as of January 2009 when G.W. Bush handed over the economy he trashed.
So no matter which of the "U's" Bomb or the Trump supporters want to look at, it remains a fully factual statement that unemployment decreased during the Obama administration, and that the 67% of Trump supporters who insist "that unemployment increased during the Obama administration" are just fucking wrong. (Not cursing at you. Just gobsmacked at the fact-denying Trump supporters, and very very concerned about how badly they are going to destroy this country in the next 4 years)
Here is a very neutral source of information on the topic of unemployment measures, complete with really cool graphs: http://www.macrotrends.net/1377/u6-unemployment-rate
And here is a rabidly partisan article shredding the bullshit right-wing idea Bomb is trying to pass off as intelligent contribution to this discussion: http://www.liberalamerica.org/2015/11/11/raw-data-unemployment/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...the-unemployment-rate/?utm_term=.5c82ac5a602bWashington Post said:“The unemployment number, as you know, is totally fiction. If you look for a job for six months and then you give up, they consider you give up. You just give up. You go home. You say, ‘Darling, I can’t get a job.’ They consider you statistically employed. It’s not the way. But don’t worry about it because it’s going to take care of itself pretty quickly.”
— Donald Trump, remarks at an rally in Des Moines, Dec. 8, 2016
...
...
During the campaign, Trump frequently said the unemployment rate — then hovering around 5 percent — was really 42 percent. He earned Four Pinocchios for that claim. The problem was that he was counting every single adult American who did not have a job, regardless of whether they wanted one. So he said the “unemployed” should include people who are retired, are students or are stay-at-home parents. That’s obviously absurd.
How do you figure I'm proving the OP?
What I'm asserting is that Ravensky offered non-evidence and fallaciously tried to pass it off as evidence.
Ravensky said:The U3 measure is and always has been the number being referred to when government and news reports talk about "unemployment". "U3 is the official unemployment rate." The *real* rate. Bomb knows or should know this.
Unfortunately, ever since President Obama was elected, Faux News and the right-wing bloviators have hoodwinked their audience into believing that the U6 is the *real* "unemployment" rate. It isn't. But even if Bomb wants to believe that it is, so what. The U6 has ALSO decreased during President Obama's terms in office.
Elixir said:Apparently the idea is that unemployment has been going up for 60 years. By now, the numbers of unemployed should exceed 100% of the population.
If the "down" segments of the graph are actually hiding an upward trend, then the upward sections of the graph must indicate wholesale firings of entire population segments.
What graph are you talking about?
. It is a matter of record that you wrote in post #5 “That Trump voters are too stupid to understand that people who have given up looking for work aren't fully human,”. Your partial quote of mine (post #48) omits salient points. The entire post readsThat's a gross failure of reading comprehension on your part....Bomb #20 called them stupid in an argument...
You wrote what you wrote. I did show it to a few other professors and they agree with me.You won't do this of course, because you're too arrogant and too hostile to take constructive criticism from me. So don't take my word for it. Go show my question to some other professor and ask her if it means I was calling them stupid.
<snip>
So you went on and on and on, yet failed to show that anyone other than Bomb #20 brought the characterization of Trump supporters as "stupid" into this thread. So I stand vindicated in my original statement, and you can drop your useless misdirected finger wagging now. It is tiresome.
Bye bye
So, we see... Trump is a fucking idiot, who seems to be as informed as the typical Fox News viewer. Nope... no need to attend those PDBs, he wouldn't understand them anyway.To complete the discussion on different ways of measuring unemployment, let me just add that Trump does not use either U-3 or U-6, but instead U-NonExistent. He uses an almost* literal definition of unemployment to be adults who are not working.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...the-unemployment-rate/?utm_term=.5c82ac5a602bWashington Post said:“The unemployment number, as you know, is totally fiction. If you look for a job for six months and then you give up, they consider you give up. You just give up. You go home. You say, ‘Darling, I can’t get a job.’ They consider you statistically employed. It’s not the way. But don’t worry about it because it’s going to take care of itself pretty quickly.”
— Donald Trump, remarks at an rally in Des Moines, Dec. 8, 2016
...
...
During the campaign, Trump frequently said the unemployment rate — then hovering around 5 percent — was really 42 percent. He earned Four Pinocchios for that claim. The problem was that he was counting every single adult American who did not have a job, regardless of whether they wanted one. So he said the “unemployed” should include people who are retired, are students or are stay-at-home parents. That’s obviously absurd.
So, we see... Trump is a fucking idiot, who seems to be as informed as the typical Fox News viewer. Nope... no need to attend those PDBs, he wouldn't understand them anyway.To complete the discussion on different ways of measuring unemployment, let me just add that Trump does not use either U-3 or U-6, but instead U-NonExistent. He uses an almost* literal definition of unemployment to be adults who are not working.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...the-unemployment-rate/?utm_term=.5c82ac5a602b